Research · Education, labor & public economics

Research on
educational opportunity.

My work studies how educational institutions, families and social networks, and neighborhoods influence educational choices and life chances.

Research statement

How institutions and social connections shape opportunity

My research examines how educational institutions, family and peer networks shape people's opportunities across the life course. With my work, I aim to understand and tackle inequality in human capital accumulation and access to opportunity. A central focus is the economics of education---how access to higher education is formed, how students make educational choices, and how schools and universities influence outcomes across generations. My work also studies social influences beyond schools, including the role of neighbors and local institutions in education and crime. I combine quasi-experimental and experimental designs with rich administrative data, and I often work in direct partnership with governments and NGOs, to move from causal diagnosis to policy.

Research statement

01 / Published

Published papers

AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW · 2026

Elite Universities and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human and Social Capital

with Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

We combine intergenerational data from Chile with a regression discontinuity design to study how elite colleges shape children’s social environments and educational paths.

Paper PDF ↗Online appendix ↗Journal version ↗CEP paper ↗CEPR paper ↗IZA paper ↗LSE blog ↗CEP article ↗El Mercurio ↗
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Do elite colleges help talented students join the social elite, or help incumbent elites retain their positions? We combine intergenerationally-linked data from Chile with a regression discontinuity design to show that, looking across generations, elite colleges do both. Lower-status individuals who gain admission to elite college programs transform their children’s social environment. Children become more likely to attend high status private schools and colleges, and to live near and befriend high-status peers. In contrast, academic achievement is unaffected. Simulations combining descriptive and quasi-experimental findings show that elite colleges tighten the link between social and human capital while decreasing intergenerational social mobility.

NEIGHBORHOOD
INSTITUTIONS
Local support.
Lasting impact.

JOURNAL OF LABOR ECONOMICS · 2025

Recidivism and Neighborhood Institutions: Evidence from the Rise of the Pentecostal Church in Chile

with Jorge García-Hombrados

We study how neighborhood institutions shape the reintegration of young people released from prison in Chile.

Paper PDF ↗CEP paper ↗CEPR paper ↗
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This paper uses rich administrative data from Chile to provide causal evidence that the local institutions of the neighborhood to which inmates return after prison matter. Specifically, we show that the opening of an Evangelical church reduces twelve-month reincarceration rates among property crime offenders by 11 percentage points, an effect that represents a drop of 18% in the probability of returning to prison for this group of individuals. We discuss three classes of mechanisms that could drive these effects: promotion of Evangelism, provision of social support, and increased difficulty to commit crimes. Our analyses suggest that the social support that Evangelical churches offer to their communities—i.e., charitable activities and alcohol and drug abuse rehabilitation—is an important driver of their effects on recidivism. Evangelical churches also seem to make it more difficult to commit crimes by reducing the number of potential criminal partners in the neighborhood. Finally, we show that NGO openings also reduce recidivism. Organizations helping their beneficiaries to improve their earnings potential or to overcome alcohol and drug abuse problems reduce reincarceration rates by 11 and 10 percentage points respectively. These results suggest that interventions that give recently released inmates access to local support networks could play an important role in encouraging desistance from crime.

TEACHER EFFECTIVENESS
AND GENDER
Different students.
Different impacts.

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION REVIEW · 2024

Teacher Value Added and Gender Gaps on Educational Outcomes

with Marc Riudavets

Using rich administrative data from Chile, we estimate teacher value added by student gender and examine its role in educational gender gaps.

Paper PDF ↗Journal version ↗CEP paper ↗
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This paper uses rich administrative data from Chile to estimate teacher-value added (TVA) on test scores and on an index of educational attainment. We allow each teacher to have a different TVA for male and female students and show that differences in TVA explain an important part of the gender gaps we observe in test scores and in postsecondary education trajectories. We next exploit rich information on teaching practices and show that at least in terms of the practices we observe there do not seem to be important differences in what makes teachers effective for male and female students. We do find, however, significant associations between certain practices and teacher effectiveness, which suggest that some teaching strategies benefit all students independently of their gender. Finally, we also show that on average female teachers are more effective at teaching female students and that math teachers tend to be biased in favor of male students. Interestingly, teachers with smaller gender biases seem to be more effective for both, male and female students.

PEER EFFECTS
IN EDUCATION
Who is in the room
can matter.

OXFORD RESEARCH ENCYCLOPEDIA OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE · 2023

Peer Effects in Education

An overview of the identification challenges, empirical strategies, and findings in the literature on peer effects in education.

Published article ↗Paper PDF ↗
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The identification of peer effects is challenging. There are many factors not related to social influences that could explain correlations among peers. This article discusses the main challenges for the identification of peer effects, describes some of the empirical strategies commonly used to overcome these challenges, and summarizes the main findings of the literature on peer effects in education. Peers have been shown to affect many important outcomes, including academic performance and educational trajectories. Confirming the existence of peer effects is important from a policy perspective. Both the cost-benefit analysis and the design of policies are likely to be affected by the existence of social spillovers. However, making general policy recommendations from the current evidence is not easy. The size of the peer effects documented in the literature varies substantially across settings and depending on how peers are defined and characterized. Understanding what is behind this heterogeneity is thus key to extract more general policy lessons. Access to better data and the ability to map social networks will likely facilitate investigating which peers and which characteristics matter the most in different contexts. Conducting more research on the mechanisms behind peer effects is also important. Understanding these drivers is key to take advantage of social spillovers in the design of new educational programs, to identify competing policies, and to gain a deeper understanding of the nature and relevance of different forms of social interactions for the youth.

NEIGHBORHOOD
INFLUENCE
Small distances.
Meaningful effects.

AEJ: APPLIED ECONOMICS · 2022

Neighbors’ Effects on University Enrollment

Evidence from Chile

Do nearby peers affect whether students apply to and attend university? This paper uses loan eligibility rules to identify the influence of neighbors’ university enrollment.

Paper PDF ↗Journal version ↗Online appendix ↗Replication code ↗Sample data ↗
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This paper provides causal evidence that close neighbors significantly influence potential applicants’ decision to attend university. I create a unique dataset combining detailed geographic information and individual educational records in Chile, and exploit the quasi-random variation generated by student loans eligibility rules. I find that potential applicants are significantly more likely to attend and complete university when their closest neighbor—-defined as the closest individual applying to university one year before—-becomes eligible for a student loan and enrolls in university. This increase in enrollment is mediated by an increase in the probability of taking the admission exam and applying to university. The closest neighbor typically lives 0.09 km away, and neighbors’ influence decays with distance. My results highlight the importance of social influences for university enrollment decisions and suggest that financial aid and university access policies may have important spillover effects.

SIBLINGS
COLLEGE CHOICES
Choices travel
through families.

THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS · 2021

O Brother, Where Start Thou? Sibling Spillovers on College and Major Choice in Four Countries

with A. Altmejd, M. Drlje, J. Goodman, M. Hurwitz, D. Kovac, C. Mulhern, C. Neilson, and J. Smith

Evidence from Chile, Croatia, Sweden, and the United States shows how older siblings’ college experiences influence younger siblings’ choices.

Journal version ↗Online appendix ↗Summary video ↗
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Family and social networks are widely believed to influence important life decisions but causal identification of those effects is notoriously challenging. Using data from Chile, Croatia, Sweden, and the United States, we study within-family spillovers in college and major choice across a variety of national contexts. Exploiting college-specific admissions thresholds that directly affect older but not younger siblings’ college options, we show that in all four countries a meaningful portion of younger siblings follow their older sibling to the same college or college-major combination. Older siblings are followed regardless of whether their target and counterfactual options have large, small or even negative differences in quality. Spillover effects disappear, however, if the older sibling drops out of college, suggesting that older siblings’ college experiences matter. That siblings influence important human capital investment decisions across such varied contexts suggests that our findings are not an artifact of particular institutional detail but instead a more generalizable description of human behavior. Causal links between the postsecondary paths of close peers may partly explain persistent college enrollment inequalities between social groups and suggests that interventions to improve college access may have multiplier effects.

INSTRUCTION TIME
AND SCHOOL DESIGN
Institutions shape
how inputs work.

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION REVIEW · 2021

It’s Time to Learn: School Institutions and Returns to Instruction Time

with G. Bovini

We examine whether the effects of Chile’s longer school day differ across public and no-fee charter schools.

Paper PDF ↗Replication code ↗Data ↗
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This paper investigates whether the effects of a reform that substantially increased daily instruction time in Chilean primary schools vary depending on school institutions. Focusing on incumbent students and exploiting an IV strategy, we find that longer daily schedules increase reading scores at the end of fourth grade and that the benefits are greater for pupils who began primary education in no-fee charter schools rather than in public schools. We provide evidence that these two types of publicly subsidized establishments, which cater to similar students but differ in their degree of autonomy, expand the teaching input in different ways: in order to provide the additional instruction time, no-fee charter schools rely more on hiring new teachers and less on increasing teachers’ working hours than public schools do.

02 / In peer review

Submitted papers

Manuscripts in the publication process, listed by current status.

BEAT
POLICING
Presence changes
perceptions.

THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL · CONDITIONALLY ACCEPTED

Boots in the Beat: Effects of Beat Policing on Victimization and Crime Perception

with Jorge García-Hombrados and Daniel Pérez-Parra

We study how a shift to permanently assigned neighborhood beats affected public safety, victimization, and perceptions of security in Chile.

Paper PDF ↗
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This paper provides causal evidence on the effects of beat policing on public security and police effectiveness. Using administrative and survey data from Chile, we study Plan Cuadrante, a reform that shifted policing toward a beat-policing model by subdividing urban municipalities into smaller geographic units—quadrants—and permanently assigning officers to them. Exploiting the program’s staggered implementation, we find large improvements in public safety and security perceptions: twelve-month victimization rates declined by 10 percentage points (36%), reported crime fell by 10%, and the share of households perceiving increased criminal activity dropped by 15 percentage points (36%), alongside a decline in private security investment. Implementation was accompanied by increases in police resources in some municipalities, but these alone cannot account for the estimated gains. The beat-policing components of the reform—and the operational changes they may have enabled—appear to be key to reducing crime and improving security perceptions.

INFORMATION
COUNSELING
ACCESS
A small intervention.
A wider path.

RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL

Brief yet Effective: Group Counseling and College Access for Disadvantaged Students

with Josefina Eluchans-Errázuriz and Fernanda Ramírez-Espinoza

A school-day group counseling program helped students navigate higher-education applications, financial aid, and enrollment.

Paper PDF ↗Information pack ↗Student testimony ↗School visits ↗Implementation team ↗AEA RCT registry ↗
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This paper uses a randomized controlled trial to evaluate a short counseling program directed to senior high school students from disadvantaged backgrounds in Chile. Considering the challenges to ensure high-quality college counseling for all students, we designed a program that combines a customized information package with four one-hour group sessions run during the school day, where students discussed their post-secondary plans, returns to different postsecondary options, funding opportunities, and application procedures. We worked with 26,853 students from 229 high schools randomly assigned to control, information-only, or information-plus-counseling arms. To assess the effectiveness of our interventions, we link Chile's rich educational administrative records to our experimental sample and to baseline and end-of-year surveys, enabling us to track multiple margins of students' higher-education trajectories in detail. We find that the full counseling program significantly improves enrollment and persistence in higher education. Counseling increased admission-exam registration and test taking (10 pp), financial-aid applications (9 pp), and enrollment in higher education (7 pp), with effects persisting through re-enrollment and short-program completion. Effects are largest for students with lower parental education, lower parental expectations, and higher information frictions, suggesting that the program substitutes for lack of family resources and support. In contrast, information provision alone improved students' understanding of the higher education system but did not increase confidence in that knowledge or changed students' trajectories. Our findings suggest that counselor scarcity and uneven counseling quality can potentially be addressed by a short, structured intervention like ours, which design is conducive to scale-up.

STEM APPLICATIONS
PIPELINE ≠ CHOICE
Where does the gap emerge?

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION REVIEW · CONDITIONALLY ACCEPTED

The Global Gender Gap in STEM Applications: Pipeline vs. Choice

with Isaac Ahimbisibwe, Adam Altmejd, Georgy Artemov, Aspasia Bizopoulou, Martti Kaila, Jin-Tan Liu, Rigissa Megalokonomou, José Montalbán, Christopher Neilson, Sebastián Otero, Jintao Sun, and Xiaoyang Ye

Using applications and assignments from ten centralized university admissions systems, we separate gender differences in academic preparation from differences in application choices.

Paper PDF ↗LSE blog ↗El Mercurio ↗
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Women make up only 35% of STEM graduates worldwide. We use ranked applications and assignments from ten centralized university admissions systems to distinguish gender differences in academic preparation (the pipeline) from differences in application decisions (the choice gap). Among students in the top 10% of each setting’s academic performance distribution, women are about 24 percentage points less likely than men to rank STEM first, averaging across settings. The pipeline gap varies widely and broadly tracks wage parity; the STEM choice gap remains large and negative everywhere. Linking applications to assignments shows that women’s underrepresentation largely precedes allocation. Pooled across settings, women are 51.2% of high achievers, 38.6% of those listing STEM anywhere, 34.0% of those ranking it first, and 34.7% of those assigned to STEM. Holding application rates fixed, a gender-balanced pipeline would still leave high-achieving STEM applicants between 57% and 75% male in every setting. A strong female academic pipeline can therefore coexist with substantial underrepresentation in STEM.

03 / In progress

Working papers & ongoing work

Research in progress. Draft availability is noted individually; paper links will be added when drafts are ready to share.

CLASSROOM
COMPOSITION
Peers shape
learning.

WORKING PAPER

Immigrant Exposure and Native Students’ Educational Outcomes

with Patricio Domínguez and Josefina Vilaplana

Evidence from Chile’s rapid immigration shock links classroom exposure to later learning, graduation, and higher-education enrollment.

Paper PDF ↗
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International migration is among the most contentious issues in receiving countries, where immigrant inflows into schools are often perceived as disruptive. We provide causal evidence to the contrary, exploiting Chile’s rapid 2015–2020 immigration shock and administrative records for the universe of K–12 students, linked to parent, teacher, and student surveys. Instrumenting younger siblings’ immigrant exposure with the share they would have faced at their eldest sibling’s school, we find that a one-standard-deviation increase in immigrant share—3.1 percentage points—raises fourth-grade test scores by 0.03–0.04 standard deviations. These gains persist into eighth and tenth grade and translate into higher rates of on-time graduation and higher-education enrollment. The improvements appear to operate through peer effects, as immigrants are positively selected relative to native classmates in cognitive and non-cognitive skills, and native students benefit particularly from exposure to immigrants who score above the school-cohort median on an index of motivation and grit, our proxy for peer quality. We find no evidence that immigrant exposure crowds out school resources or induces compensatory responses by schools, as teacher–student ratios and teacher quality remain unchanged in classrooms with more immigrants.

FIRM COLLAPSE
CAREER PATHS
Displacement and
entrepreneurship.

WORKING PAPER

The Aftermath of a Superstar Firm Collapse: Labor Market Trajectories and Entrepreneurship Following Nokia’s Decline

with Jarkko Harju, Tuomas Matikka, and Sami Remes

We study workers displaced by Nokia’s decline in Finland, tracing their employment, earnings, and entrepreneurship after the shock.

Paper PDF ↗
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The rapid decline of Nokia mobile phone operations in 2009–2012 left many high-skilled workers looking for new career paths. We use rich matched employer-employee data covering all Nokia workers and other individuals in Finland to study how this sudden labor market shock affected displaced workers. We find that workers displaced from Nokia experienced large and long- lasting losses in the labor market. They suffered large drops in earnings and were more likely to be unemployed than similar workers displaced from other firms even three years after the mass layoffs took place. These losses, however, were attenuated by an important increase in entrepreneurship. We find that a distinctively large share of the high-skilled Nokia workers established a new business after being displaced (9% compared to 3% for displaced workers from other firms). This effect was amplified by generous start-up grants provided by Nokia since 2011 as a part of Bridge, their global support program for displaced workers. The larger number of entrepreneurs does not seem to have resulted in lower entrepreneurial quality. The firms founded by former Nokia employees perform similarly to those founded by similar workers displaced from other firms or to all those established in Finland during the decline of Nokia. This result suggests that encouraging high-skilled displaced workers to become entrepreneurs can reduce the costs of mass layoffs, as it increases the number of established firms without significantly affecting their performance.

ONGOING WORK · DRAFT COMING SOON

Elite Universities and the Formation of Influential Politicians

with Christopher Neilson, Antonia Paredes, and Seth Zimmerman

This project studies whether admission to elite university programs influences later careers in public administration and politics in Chile.

FAMILY BACKGROUND
AND STUDY CHOICES
Trajectories across
generations.

ONGOING WORK · DRAFT COMING SOON

Gender Differences in the Intergenerational Transmission of Higher Education Trajectories

with Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

Using intergenerational data from Chile, this project examines how parents’ higher-education experiences shape their children’s university and major applications.